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Canada is expected to release several end-of-year developments in October that will shape Canadian immigration targets and trends for the next year and beyond.
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) will announce the process for the PGP 2022 in late October and the Immigration Levels Plan 2023-2025 will be announced by November 1. It is also likely to lower the minimum Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score for the newly resumed all-program Express Entry draws.
Additionally, Statistics Canada will soon publish census data on immigration in 2021 which will give us an outlook on the success of Canadian immigration for the first time in five years.
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Express Entry CRS score may drop below 500
Since July 06, IRCC has held seven all-program Express Entry draws after a gap of 18 months.
The fortnightly nomination draws for permanent residency have invited eligible candidates under the Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP), Canada Experience Class (CEC, and the Federal Skilled Trades Program (FSTP), alongside candidates with prior provincial nominations.
We have observed a common trend among all seven draws – draw size is increasing by 250-500 invitations to apply (ITAs) and the qualifying CRS score is decreasing by 6-9 points. While the latest draw had a CRS qualifying CRS score of 504, pre-pandemic Express Entry draws had CRS scores between 450 and 500 points.
If this trend continues, the score could soon dip below 500 for an all-program draw and the draw size would range between 3,400-4,500 ITAs, much similar to pre-pandemic levels.
Parents and Grandparents Program 2022
Application intakes will be available in the coming weeks for the Parents and Grandparents Program (PGP).
PGP allows parents or grandparents of permanent residents or citizens to stay in Canada for 20 years (or 10 years in Quebec). The applicants are sponsors who are over 18 years old and able to demonstrate that they exceed the minimum necessary income to support their parents or grandparents.
Last year, IRCC held a lottery for the PGP that invited 30,000 Canadians to submit their applications to sponsor. We are expecting more applications to receive invitations even this year.
Immigration Levels Plan 2023-2025
Each year IRCC issues an Immigration Levels Plan that acts as the guideline for the number of immigrants. It includes the breakdown of immigrants from economic class, family class, and humanitarian class programs over the next three years.
As Canada is on track to achieve its 2022 immigration intake target of nearly 431,000 new permanent residents, we are expecting more record-breaking targets in the upcoming levels plan.
Immigration Minister Sean Fraser even earlier hinted about rising the targets to 500,000 new intakes. Given Canada’s current labor shortage and the high number of job vacancies, record-breaking intake levels could be possible.
The new Immigration levels plan 2023-2025 may be tabled for Parliament’s approval a few days before November 1.
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Canada is targeting eligible skilled workers to fulfill the increased job vacancies across provinces and eventually qualify for permanent residency.
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Book your free appointment with us today to discuss Express Entry programs, Provincial Nominee Programs or Quebec immigration, and more!
