Newcomers in Canada are usually referred to as people who have recently left another country to settle in. Canada is projected to welcome about 520,000 newcomers between July and September of 2022. This would be a considerable figure in just a three-month period and would represent a significant turnaround following two difficult years in Canadian immigration since the pandemic.
International students: Up to 270,000 could arrive this summer
In the first quarter of 2022, Canada welcomed nearly 90,000 international students. Assuming Canada’s 30 per cent increase during Q1 2022 continues into subsequent quarters, we could see as many as 270,000 international students arrive in Canada between July and September of this year.
Permanent residents: Some 130,000 people could land in Q3 2022
Guided by its Immigration Levels Plan 2022-2024, the Canadian government is currently pursuing the goal of landing nearly 432,000 new permanent residents this year. Canada is achieving its goal by prioritizing the landings of applicants living in the country.
However, recent Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) data is now processing more overseas applications. For instance, it has prioritised Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP) applications this year, predominantly submitted by candidates living abroad.
Temporary foreign workers: Over 100,000 work permits likely to be issued in Q3
Canada has two categories of temporary foreign workers. Those welcomed to address labour shortages are done under the Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP). The majority are welcomed under the International Mobility Program (IMP), which sees work permits issued for economic, social, and cultural purposes.
When combining TFWP and IMP projections, we could see between 110,000 and 120,000 new work permits issued between July and September.
What does it mean for Canadian Immigration?
However, projecting such high figures for newcomers in Canada is difficult. There can be double-counting and even triple-counting since it is routine for newcomers to switch their visa status.
For instance, an international student can begin with a study permit, switch to a Post Graduation Work Permit, and obtain permanent residence. IRCC may count thrice if all of these occur in the same year.
Despite these variables, there is a high likelihood that IRCC is open to inviting more unique newcomers to Canada due to reasons such as pandemic travel restrictions being largely lifted and record-high levels of applications to get through its pandemic-induced backlogs.
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